Theoretical Background ====================== **Full Theoretical Treatment:** For complete mathematical proofs and detailed theoretical foundations, see the research paper: `Bado, I. O. (2025). "Cohomological Risk Scoring: A Topological Framework for Detecting Structural Inconsistencies in Financial Networks." `_ Mathematical Foundations ------------------------ Cohomological Risk Scoring is based on the mathematical framework of algebraic topology applied to financial networks. Core Concepts ~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 1. **Simplicial Complexes** Financial networks are modeled as simplicial complexes: - **Vertices (0-simplices)**: Financial entities - **Edges (1-simplices)**: Transactions/relationships - **Triangles (2-simplices)**: Higher-order interactions 2. **Sheaf Theory** A financial sheaf F assigns: - Data spaces to each simplex - Restriction maps encoding consistency constraints 3. **Persistent Cohomology** Tracks cohomological features across filtration scales to identify robust risk signals. Key Theorems ------------ Theorem 1: Stability ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ The persistence diagram of Cohomological Risk Classes (CRCs) is stable under data perturbations: .. math:: d_B(\text{Dgm}_1, \text{Dgm}_2) \leq C \cdot d_{GH}((K_1, F_1), (K_2, F_2)) **Implication**: Small errors in data lead to small changes in risk scores. Theorem 2: Detection ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ The framework guarantees detection of cyclic fraud patterns satisfying: .. math:: \left\| \sum_{i=1}^k \left( g(v_i, v_{i+1}) - \rho_{v_i \to e_i}(\mathbf{v}_i) \right) \right\| > \epsilon **Implication**: Money laundering loops and circular trading are always detected. Theorem 3: Locality ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ PCR scores can be computed efficiently from local neighborhoods: .. math:: r = O(\log(1/\epsilon)) **Implication**: Scalable to large networks with millions of nodes. PCR Score Definition -------------------- The Persistence of Cohomological Risk (PCR) score for vertex v: .. math:: \text{PCR}(v) = \sum_{[\omega] \in \mathcal{P}} \mathbb{1}_{v \in \text{supp}([\omega])} \cdot \text{pers}([\omega]) \cdot \|[\omega]\| Where: - P: Set of persistent CRCs - pers([ω]): Persistence (lifetime) of cohomology class - ||[ω]||: Norm of representative cocycle Interpretation -------------- High PCR Score Indicates ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 1. **Cyclic Inconsistencies**: Entity participates in transaction loops inconsistent with declared profiles 2. **Structural Anomalies**: Part of fraud rings or laundering networks 3. **Global Risk**: Risk emerges from network structure, not local features alone Advantages ~~~~~~~~~~ - **Global Perspective**: Detects relational risks invisible to local models - **Interpretability**: Provides specific cycles/structures causing risk - **Robustness**: Stable under noise and missing data - **Mathematical Rigor**: Backed by theorems with formal guarantees For the complete mathematical treatment, see the accompanying paper: **"Cohomological Risk Scoring: A Topological Framework for Detecting Structural Inconsistencies in Financial Networks"**